I'm not sure who has less of a life: me for writing this or you for reading it. Let's see what you think of these teams. I felt it was another couple strong days in the office. I really wish they paid me for drafting teams (other than the money I'm taking off my fellow owners) or writing about them.
TEAM 2
QB – Colin Kaepernick (7th)
RB – Jamaal Charles (keeper)
RB – Shane Vereen (4th)
WR – Antonio Brown (1st)
WR – Michael Crabtree (3rd)
RB/WR/TE (WR) – Michael Floyd (5th)
TE – Julius Thomas (2nd)
K – Nick Novak (15th)
DEF – 49ers (12th)
BN (QB) – Tony Romo (10th)
BN (RB) – Chris Johnson (6th)
BN (RB) – Christine Michael (11th)
BN (WR) – Brandin Cooks (8th)
BN (WR) – Riley Cooper (14th)
BN (TE) – Ladarius Green (9th)
BN (DEF) – Buccaneers (13th)
Having a surefire top-4 pick to start with is always
nice. I used to prefer drafting on one
of the ends because I liked doubling up on picks at once. However, I’ve since
migrated away from that thinking because I’ve found that you need to reach for
players more often. Or maybe I don’t
like sitting around waiting for 20 minutes between picks.
I was really hoping the Bernard would make it to me and he
almost did. Once he didn’t my only
decision was 1 or 2 WRs. I knew I was
taking my man Brown. I decided to go
with a curveball by selecting the Orange Julius. My general thinking has been to wait on TE if
I can’t get Graham. I do have Thomas as
my #2 TE and it wasn’t a stretch to grab so I hoped that wouldn’t put me behind
the 8-ball too much.
I was quite pleased that Vereen came all the back; he’s
going to catch a ton of passes. Maybe
not Larry Centers circa 1995 but in the ballpark I’m hoping. Crabtree and Kap had some good mojo a couple
years ago that I think they can rekindle.
I’m content with him as my #2.
Both Floyd and CJ1K both seemed like real value picks when
they got to me.
As I predicted, there would be QBs in the middle to late
rounds that I could snag and walk away from the draft happy with. I actually think Romo could end up with the
better year than Kap but I also correctly predicted he would drop. There’s just some negative stigma about the
guy that I don’t get.
Cooks was a reach but I’ve already supported my basis for
going outside your comfort zone on guys when you’re on an end. Plus I really wanted to get at least 1 share
of a guy who could duplicate the work of Darren Sproles.
I’d much rather have Green on my 1st team but I’m
not complaining. I typically like to
carry 2 defenses and play the matchup game.
I feel like I have 2 top 10 units with the 49ers and Bucs (in Lovie I
trust).
Overall, I’d consider this another job well done. I don’t have any perceived weaknesses and I
don’t need unrealistic performances from any player or group of players to
compete. Obviously I like my chances to
make the playoffs (6 of 12 make it) and I consider myself one of the favorites
to win it all (and retain my title).
This league is on NFL.com and they gave my work an A+. Another league mate input the draft into his
fantasy sports program. The prognosis on
my team is that I have a 99% chance to make the playoffs with excellent
in-season management and an 84% chance to make them with merely average
in-season management. I love having my
ego massaged but those calculations definitely seem inflated. I hope he didn’t pay too much for that app. For
the results, go here
and look at the Draft2 tab.
TEAM 3
Setup – 10 team; .5 PPR; Auction with $200 budget
QB – Colin Kaepernick ($3)
RB/WR/TE (RB) – Eddie Lacy ($41)
RB/WR/TE (WR) – Jordy Nelson ($32)
RB/WR/TE (WR) – Antonio Brown ($28)
RB/WR/TE (RB) – Andre Ellington ($22)
RB/WR/TE (WR) – Andre Johnson ($21)
RB/WR/TE (WR) – Larry Fitzgerald ($16)
K – Justin Tucker ($1)
DEF – Cardinals ($1)
BN (WR) – Keenan Allen ($16)
BN (WR) – T.Y. Hilton ($11)
BN (WR) – Brandin Cooks ($6)
BN (QB) – Russell Wilson ($1)
BN (WR) – Terrance Williams ($1)
This was only my 2nd auction ever for
football. I had some player values from
ESPN printed out ahead of time but I quickly tossed them aside. If you look at the entire auction results here on the Draft3 tab,
you’ll see some guys who went for way more than expected and some absolute
steals.
The auction value is in parentheses and I made the highest
paid players on each the starters. I did italicize a few situations where a
bench guy (based on price) might actually represent the more optimal
lineup. What you can’t tell from this
sheet is when the player got added.
Trust me when I say that makes a difference.
Even when you look at my players, it’s impossible to look at
individual players in a vacuum. It’s all
relative to everything else going on around you. From my baseball auction experience, I’ve
found that the best deals are early and late.
Even though everyone has money at the beginning, people are hesitant to
overpay because they’re still holding out hope for a better deal later. I’ll shell out a couple extra bucks for a
stud if it’s someone I really want. In
the middle stages, the pool of valued players is dwindling and the money
usually hasn’t caught up to it yet. In
order to be sure they aren’t stuck holding the bag, people will squabble over
the few big names left. By the end, there
are great bargains if you’ve got some money left.
This league is a bit unique because you can completely customize
your lineup outside of your QB, K and DEF.
The other 6 spots can be comprised of any combination RB, WR and
TE. I rode a deep stable of WRs to a 3rd
place finish and you’ll see that I’ve followed a similar strategy this
year. For whatever reason, I’ve found
the WRs to be a better value. There are
also few question marks with the WR position versus the RB position which is
another reason I tend to lean in that direction. I had no knowledge of this “Zero RB Strategy”
but the logic is documented in this
article if you’re curious.
You’ll see that I didn’t follow that strategy completely by
shelling my largest amount on Lacy. That
was at a point in the auction where I still had a lot of money and I was
panicking a little bit at the lack of good players I had compared to everyone
else.
My UPS guy (what can Brown do for me?) shows up on a team
for the 3rd. Nelson makes
another appearance too. I’m not
disappointed in either but I also wish I had made a harder push for one of the
top 5 WRs.
I wanted me some Andre Ellington so I splashed the pot when
his name was called. I think it was a
very fair price. I then rounded out my
starting lineup with all WRs. You’d be
hard pressed to argue with any of those prices I think. No TE?
Well, you don’t need one, so no.
All of my WRs except the last few should outscore most TEs anyway.
I was getting real nervous that I was going to be stuck with
someone like Eli or Dalton as my starting QB because I was under $10 without a
QB. Fortunately, most of the people with
money left already had a QB or they made the position an afterthought. If you
at the results, you’ll see all sort of crazy bargains at the position. For the 3rd league in a row, I’m “stuck”
playing the matchup game. I may do the
same with DEF so I was fine getting whatever was left.
The league site didn’t provide any projections for this
team. With the range of teams (some
stars and scrubs, some steady across the board), it’s also harder to judge
everyone. I tried to envision my team
against a standard snake draft and it comes out favorably. That might not mean anything actually. I had a general plan to model my team after
last year’s squad after its success. Of
course, that team also had Peyton Manning.